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DOCO, BIMAS, LOGO, FROTO, EREGL Haftalık Hisse Önerileri Ve yorumları

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Haftalık Piyasa Stratejisi

19 Mart tarihinde TCMB Başkanı’nın görevden alınmasıyla başlayan süreçte başta borsa endeksleri olmak üzere piyasalarda olumlu hava kayboldu diyebiliriz. Haftanın ilerleyen günlerinde Pazartesi günü yaşanan fiyat oynaklığı oluşmadı ancak yine de piyasa algılamalarında belirgin bir iyileşme olduğu söylenemez.

Geçen hafta geçmesine rağmen TCMB yeni başkanı Şahap Kavcıoğlu’ndan piyasaları yatıştıracak veya güveni tesis edecek açıklama gelmedi. Yabancıların borsa ve tahvil piyasalarından çıkışları devam etti ve gelecek hafta da devam edecek görünüyor. Yabancının takas oranı %44.23’e inerek tarihi düşük seviyeye geriledi. Geçen yıl ocak ayında yabancı payı %65.79 seviyesindeydi. Risk primi ölçümüz olan CDS oranları gelişmeden önce 300 seviyesinden 458 seviyesine yükseldi.

İçeride piyasa dostu açıklamalar beklenirken, kabine değişikliği ile ilgili hiçbir gelişme olmadı ve hiçbir açıklama yapılmadı. Kabine değişikliği olacak mı o bile belirsiz durumda diyebiliriz. Piyasalarda Pazartesi günkü oynaklık seviyesi görünmüyor ancak genel algıdaki zayıf görünüm sürüyor. Borsa endeksi 1250 seviyelerinden 1430 direncini test etti ancak bu seviyeyi geçmekte başarılı olamazken, dolar kuru 8 seviyesinin üzerine de ısrarlı ve inatçı seyrini koruyor.

Çarşamba günü TCMB’nin yatırımcılar ile toplantı yapması bekleniyor. Bu toplantı sonrasında yapılacak açıklamalar takip edilecek.

Dışarıda ise Cuma günü tarım dışı işsizlik verileri bulunuyor. Çarşamba günü Euro bölgesi enflasyon verisi izlenecek. Ayrıca Cuma günü ABD, İngiltere, Almanya piyasaları tatil sebebiyle kapalı olacak.

Borsa

Borsa endeksi 1430 direncini zorladı ancak üzerine çıkmayı başaramadı. Bu seviyeden gelen kar satışlarının etkili olduğunu görüyoruz. Özellikle banka hisselerindeki yabancı satışları endeksi baskı altında tutuyor. Önümüzdeki hafta içinde yabancı satışlarının sürmesi bekleniyor.

Genel olarak kısa vadeli yatırımcılar için Borsa alıma uygun değil. Teknik olarak 1250-1430 gibi geniş bir aralıkta endeksin dalgalanması beklenebilir. Bu dönemde hisse senetlerinde ani düşüş ve yükselişler görülebilir. Teknik olarak endeksin 1250 desteğini yeniden test etmesi mümkün. Böyle bir hareket kayıpların artmasına neden olabilir. Kısa vadeli al sat yapan kişilerin hareket etmemelerinde piyasada taşların yerine oturduğunu görene kadar izlemelerinde fayda var. Bu dönemde kredili pozisyonların kapanması doğru olacaktır.

Uzun vadeli yatırımcılara gelirsek, bu tarz sert ve kısa vadeli dalgalanmalar ilk defa olmuyor ve sonda olmayacak. Ancak beklentisi güçlü olan, faaliyetleri iyi olan güçlü şirketler uzun vadede kazandırmaya her zaman devam edecek. Uzun vadeli yatırımcılar için sabırlı olmaları gereken bir döneme giriyoruz. Kötü piyasada en iyi şirket hissesi bile düşebilir. Ancak panik yaparak satanlar 6-7 ay sonra pişman olabilirler. Sakin olmakta her zaman fayda var.

Dolar

Dolar kurunda 8.04 direncinin üzerinde kapanış oluştu. 8.04 seviyesinin üzerinde seyir sürdüğü sürece yukarı hareket devam edebilir. 8.58 direnci önemini korurken bu seviyenin geçilmesi durumunda yukarı seyir hızlanabilir. Dolar kurunda sakinleşmenin başladığını söyleyebilmemiz için ilk etapta 7.80 seviyesinin altında seyirler görmemiz gerekir. Ancak teknik olarak grafik yukarı eğimi gösteriyor. Bu süre içerisinde gelebilecek açıklamalar önemli olacak.

DOCO, BIMAS, LOGO, FROTO, EREGL

Not: Pozisyon girişleri Pazartesi açılış seansında oluşan fiyatlardan yapılacaktır. Giriş maliyetine göre satış hedefi ve stop loss seviyeleri belirlenecektir. Açılış seansının ardından tablomuz giriş fiyatları ile güncellenip tekrar gönderilecektir.

Kaynak: İntegral Yatırım Haftalık Borsa Bülteni – (29 Mart – 2 Nisan 2021)

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